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NYC this week: [TBD] Gentlemen's Agreement: if you've gotten value from this newsletter, fulfill your end of our gentleman's agreement and share with a friend. Here's the link where people can sign up, as well as a link to all the articles in this newsletter. --- The one thing I've learned from successful people We’re all idiots. Over the last 10 years I’ve done 800+ conversations with successful founders and read hundreds of books on the topic of “how to be successful.” And after all that, there’s only one truth that I’ve learned: for any one piece of advice from a successful person, assume you can still win by doing the opposite. Silicon Valley, as well as this little business bubble you and I are in, is famous for cute bits of advice. Do things that don’t scale. Build what the customer wants. Culture eats strategy for breakfast. And mind you, I’m not just talking about business. But all facets of life. Health, relationships, or whatever else you have a guru for. That advice can be great and oftentimes will increase the odds of success. But know this: you can do the opposite and still be successful. So, what are some other conflicting bits of advice from people I’ve interviewed? Doing one thing vs. do many things
Raise VC vs. never raise
Grind vs. a 40-hour week
Big goal vs. no goals
Pick your own stocks vs. stop trading
Work remote vs. get everyone in one building
Never risk ruin vs. not afraid to lose it all
Money buys happiness vs. it doesn't
Move faster vs. win by outlasting
Passion vs. talent
Spend on ads vs. never spend $1
The above are examples that I have on the record on My First Million. But there are so many more. Plus, the books that I’ve read. If you like this series then next time I can show even more. Speaking of advise, I'd be remise to not mention Hampton at this point. Its my company so I'm obligated to promote it. But the whole point of Hampton is to get good advice. We're building Core groups in 18 cities. Particularly, Miami and Boston have Core groups that need a an additional member. Obligatory plug done. --- Last week: 15,268 of you opened (out of 32,414). That’s a 47.1% open rate. 4.75% of you clicked (5,752 total). Most clicked: the YouTuber who explains fabric (492), the Hacker News thread on middle-aged men (433), and the 24,000 sq ft mega mansion (419). So, in summary: you people love fabric, existential dread and giant houses. Same. [TBD: best reader replies to last week’s PS (the most expensive “productivity” purchase that really just bought you time), if you want to share them here] --- Cool stuff I’m consuming: Cell phones are cigarettes (chart): In 1963 Americans smoked enough cigarettes for every adult to have more than half a pack a day, about 4,300 per person. Smoking climbed almost every year from 1900 to the peak in 1963, then fell to less than half of it by the early 2000s. What will cause the drop for cell phones and what year are we in? Montana Knife Company (article): I'm hearing people talk about this knife company. They're 6 years old. Bootstrapped. Doing well over $100 million a year in revenue. Founder Josh Smith: "I registered the name Montana Knife Company when I was 19 years old, and I didn't launch it until I was 39." What is the average net worth by age? (article): Average U.S. household net worth by age, from the Fed's new 2025 survey: under 35 is $136,000, 35 to 44 is $670,000, 45 to 54 is $1.24 million, 55 to 64 is $1.87 million, 65 to 74 is $1.87 million, and 75+ is $1.95 million. "Let me not then die ingloriously and without a struggle, but let me first do some great thing that shall be told among men hereafter." (tweet). This gets me jacked up. Is it finally time to expect lower stock returns? (chart): Annual S&P 500 returns: 3 years +22.9%, 10 years +15.3%, 15 years +15.7%, 30 years +10.3%, 50 years +11.9%. The longrun norm is !0% to 12% a year, so this is rare. The last time they ran this hot was the late 1990s, right before the dotcom crash. "There's so much pressure to make money" (reel): Robert Greene, the guy who wrote The 48 Laws of Power, says most writers get a $20,000 to $50,000 advance and have to finish the book in a year just to pay rent. Life got too expensive for artists to take their time, and he thinks the work is suffering for it. The psychology of where you live (reel): Five rules for being happy where you live: Your 10-minute radius matters more than your city. A bigger house can mean a smaller life, because you just go house to car to work and back. Moving won't change who you are, but it changes what feels normal. And where your friends live should decide where you live more than we admit. Gales of November (book): Read this last week. 9/10. The Great Lakes, during the 1950-70s, controlled American commerce. Enough iron ore to make 50 million cars a year went through the Great Lakes. In the '70s, the most famous ship sank. this is the story of the history of commerce in the Great Lakes, as well as the sinking. I realize my description doesn't make it sound interesting, but holy hell, this was a page-turner --- I want to be someone that you admire I want the record to show that I’m a cool dad. This past weekend we had a 1 and 3 year birthday for my kids. I fetched the cake and balloons from a store down the street with my skateboard. My mother was visiting from St. Louis and took this video of me arriving home skating and carrying balloons. In my 20’s I became obsessed with the idea that I should put the work in today that will make my future self proud. That idea motivated me to be successful. But now that I have a family, I often think to myself: what can I do today that will make my future family proud. It can be small dumb stuff like taking a photo to remind them when they’re older that I was silly and skated on their birthday. But all of this has made me think a lot about admiration and how that’s a wonderful quality to look for in people you do life with. I admire my wife. That’s how I knew I wanted to marry her. She was/is formidable. Very capable. On our 3rd date I got a kidney stone while we were out and she rushed me to the hospital and took care of business. My co-founder Joe is like that, too. I admire him. On certain topics, not only do I trust him but I feel bad for the person he’s going against because I know he’ll win. I want people to feel admiration for me like I do the people I admire. On certain topics, I want them to think to themselves: “this guy’s a f*cking animal!” Ted talk over. I love you, Sam PS: Last night I met a founder at a Hampton event who does $20m a year for his app with 5 employees. What a world. Reply back with some crazy "I met a guy who..." business stories and I'll mention 'em in next week's email. |
NYC this week: This week is sunny in the 50-70s. I felt like Tom Hanks in a 90's romcom this weekend while walking around Central Park with my buddies Austin and Grant and our kids. Three men strolling through Central Park in the fall: more like You’ve Got Males, amiright? Gentlemen's Agreement: if you've gotten value from this newsletter, fulfill your end of our gentleman's agreement and share with a friend. Here's the link where people can sign up as well as a link to all the articles in...
NYC this week: Sunny every day, highs in the low-to-mid 60s, nights in the 40s. October’s being suspiciously nice. Pack a jacket and your feelings. Spent the weekend in Central Park with my kids. Felt like a 90's romcom. --- The number of the day: 2.9. I met a guy in Hampton who sold a company for ~$10m in 2016. For the last decade his fulltime job has been buying individual public stocks. His return: 21.8% a year. The S&P 500 did 13.5% over the same time. At most times he only owns 4-8...
NYC this week: 78° and sunny Wed, showers Thu night into Fri, then 52° and windy Sat. October’s giving us one last summer fling before it dumps us for good. Pack a jacket and your feelings. Spent the weekend in Central Park with my kids. Felt like a 90's romcom. --- The number of the day: 2.9. I met a guy in Hampton who sold a company for ~$10m in 2016. For the last decade he's put those winnings into public stocks. His return: 21.8% a year. The S&P 500 did 13.5% over the same time. Being...